Calculating risk in a time of war, drones and fire

A snapshot of the key geopolitical risks for institutional investors this year

The new year is always a time for reflection of the past year and predictions for the next. At the beginning of 2024, institutional investors have much to review and assess in terms of geopolitical risks that are likely to impact their portfolios – from the ongoing war in Ukraine and the new/old conflict in the Middle East, to the elections that will take half of the world to the polls this year, to the growing impacts of climate change.

Here is a snapshot of the key risks and some predictions of how they might impact economic indicators and financial markets: