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What happens if US debt becomes unsustainable?

Capital Group

In this paper, we explore the potential consequences if US government debt becomes unsustainable amid rising deficits and interest burdens. While a crisis does not appear imminent, the analysis considers scenarios such as inflation, financial repression, austerity, and higher growth as possible responses. The paper highlights that long-term debt sustainability depends on future GDP growth, with technological change—especially generative AI—playing a key role in shaping fiscal outcomes

Capital Group

Sunday 21st September 2025

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